Time of Planting New Trees!

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“The Best time to buy a Stock is when you don’t feel like doing it”

We are at 17% downside in NIFTY 500 & nearly a 14% downside on NIFTY 50, this CY NIFTY 500 is down nearly 10%, Stocks have crumbled to prices that were buying zone of a new bull run!

We all Expected a Correction, but not this much for sure, but every time when market corrects by more than 15% it is the best time to Plant new tree, let us take example from the below chart we were coming out from covid and we were doing higher highs, suddenly the war came up and we corrected by nearly about 15% and same thing happened that time stocks corrected to an average of 40-60% from their high (Specially Small Caps), but the stock that did turn around were the winners of  the next bull Run!

Like from covid lows to market going 18000, companies that outshined where traditional companies, but after the Russia -Ukraine war the market consolidated for nearly 14 months with a correction of 16%. There were new Winners like Auto, Real-estate PSU etc, this time NBFCs, Chemical have given 1st Growth Signals.

In last 20 years I have witnessed that big money is never made in bull market, it is made when we take brave decisions in bad markets, where most of the investors are out of Cash, Courage and Conviction the sectors outshining and turning around in this time are generally the winners of the upcoming bull run!

I WON’T BE SURPRISED IF WE REACH 24000 AGAIN BEFORE MARCH END 2025!

Regards, 

Rohan Mehta – CEO & Fund Manager Turtle Wealth

Disclaimers and Disclosures

SEBI Reg. No: INP000006758

Investments in the securities market are subject to market risks, and there is no assurance or guarantee that the objectives of any investment portfolio will be achieved. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Above performance data is not verified by SEBI. It is important for investors to consider their financial condition, risk tolerance, and investment objectives before making any investment decisions. The content provided by the Company, including but not limited to reports, research materials, and presentations, is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as an offer to buy or sell securities, or a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell securities, in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be considered illegal.

For Detailed Disclaimer: https://turtlewealth.in/disclaimer/ 

Do you brush at NIGHT?

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We all Brush our Teeth in the Morning, but the same thing becomes very hard when it is to be done at night!

The same is true for Equity Investments, we all 😍 Bull Markets, but when it comes to BEAR markets, we are 😨, just like brushing our teeth at night!

Let’s Talk with Data!

“Investment when Correction Comes and Eating only Healthy Food is a Myth 😂!”

We see that almost every year, we have a correction of 10 to 20%, and in hindsight, we always regret NOT investing in that correction, we plan that next time when the correction comes, we will invest heavily, but again, the same story happens, This is like in the morning I decide I will brush at night, and at night I decide I will do it from next day, and hardly that next day comes 😆!

For Instance: We communicated to our clients to invest in Covid madness around 8200 NIFTY, but few turned up, after the recovery they said next time for sure, again I told them in 2022 at 16000 NIFTY in Russia Wartime, very few did, and again I am telling NOW at 23000 NIFTY!

The question also is why are we saying that?
36 out to 45 years ended with positive returns – but even these positive years had 10-20% intra-year declines
NIFTY500 Turnaround Sector Performance Analysis: Yearly Returns, Drawdowns & Declines

The above data is clear again that despite this volatility 85% of the time we have seen positive returns in markets,

The Million Dollar Question is What to Buy?
Turnaround Sector Analysis with NIFTY500

The catch here is, in the last 20 years, the market has corrected 14 times more than 10%, currently is the 15th time, after every correction when recovery comes to the last outperforming sector changes, and that’s where the real catch is in 2008 the best Performing Sector was Real estate, Metal etc, but the recovery was done by Auto & IT, so market may recover but the Sectors may not Outperform, in this our Turtle Advanced Quant can outperform human emotions to find the Outperforming Sector.

So, a Question we need to ask ourselves is:

The current Fall is an opportunity to create Wealth for the Upcoming time or Feeling Sad for the current fall in Portfolio?

Your answer will depend on the Level of your Future Wealth Creation 💵!

Chart Source: beat the Street shared by Nikunj Mehta.

For detailed disclaimer: https://turtlewealth.in/disclaimer/ 

Regards, 

Rohan Mehta